Market Intelligence

Markets Don’t Crash when the Crowd is Bearish
Presented with little comment. The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) ask, and people reply: “I feel that the direction…
Presented with little comment. The American Association of Individual Investors…
Don´t Count on Trump and Xi
A dovish Fed is a welcomed tailwind for risky assets, but potential lack of improvement in the trade talk between…
A dovish Fed is a welcomed tailwind for risky assets,…
The Pain Trade is a Melt Up
One of the absolutely biggest investment themes over past months has been the crowded trades implosion. The aggregate investor has…
One of the absolutely biggest investment themes over past months…
China: Get in Line or Lose Assets? Is Alibaba and Jack Ma examples of Foreign Shareholders have No Rights?
We have earlier written about how Jack Ma’s leaving Alibaba (BABA US) might be the beginning of the end as…
We have earlier written about how Jack Ma’s leaving Alibaba…
Gold and Oil as Hedges if USD Reverses Sharply?
We saw some interesting moves post the Powell speech yesterday. The USD got sold, equities got bought and gold reacted…
We saw some interesting moves post the Powell speech yesterday.…
Crowded Trades (Still) Getting Killed
Powell delivered exactly what we outlined last week. We argued among other things that Oil was a big input for…
Powell delivered exactly what we outlined last week. We argued…
Is VIX really that “Fearful”?
Media, many investors as well as many traders still talk about the VIX showing a lot of fear. Sure, the…
Media, many investors as well as many traders still talk…
Macro and Credit – Zollverein
“An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by war.” –  Montesquieu Watching with interest the evolution of the…
“An empire founded by war has to maintain itself by…
Risk on, Risk off
The JPY is one of the bigger “risk” indicators on every macro trader’s screen. When the JPY weakens, the stock…
The JPY is one of the bigger “risk” indicators on…
G-20: Saudi Crown Prince to be arrested in Argentina?
Argentinian Authorities are contemplating to arrest Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia on possible criminal charges as he attends the G-20…
Argentinian Authorities are contemplating to arrest Crown Prince of Saudi…
G-20: Could it All be False Hope? Could Markets Tank if no U.S. China Deal?
It has been long time since a G-20 meeting is as consequential to world economy and politics as the upcoming…
It has been long time since a G-20 meeting is…
Apple: Could Supreme Court Take away its Golden Goose?
Recently we wrote about how Apple (APPL US) have been facing some headwinds.  Cutting its forecasts for latest flagship phones.…
Recently we wrote about how Apple (APPL US) have been…
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