Market Intelligence

Should we Trust Calm Emerging Markets?
Emerging Markets FX space has been very calm recently, despite the global trade situation. The JPM EM FX index recently…
Emerging Markets FX space has been very calm recently, despite…
The Pain Trade is (slowly) Higher
The theme of crowded trades going the “wrong way” from 2018 continues in 2019. As we have been pointing out,…
The theme of crowded trades going the “wrong way” from…
Long Live Volatility…or?
While most Hedge(d) funds lost money last year, it was a great comeback for the long volatility hedge funds. The…
While most Hedge(d) funds lost money last year, it was…
Pharma: M&A Bonanza to come as Companies Keep Raising Prices? Companies to Keep on the Radar
Late last week Bistrol Myers Squibb (BMY US) purchased Celgene (CELG US) for $74bn, paying a 54% premium to the…
Late last week Bistrol Myers Squibb (BMY US) purchased Celgene…
Macro and Credit – The Clemency of Titus
Another must read article….   “Clemency is the noblest trait which can reveal a true monarch to the world.” –…
Another must read article….   “Clemency is the noblest trait…
The New Year Starts with a Rally
Last week, I discussed the potential for a rally as we head into the New Year based on both the more extreme…
Last week, I discussed the potential for a rally as we head…
Weekend Reading January 5th: Trade War Having an Effect
The first trading week of the year continued the patterns of late 2018. Markets continue to be volatile, moving several…
The first trading week of the year continued the patterns…
Be Careful What You Hedge
Earlier today, before the surge in equity futures, we outlined our arguments of why being a bear here is not…
Earlier today, before the surge in equity futures, we outlined…
Apple: Is M&A the Only Way Forward? Netflix the Obvious Target?
Apple (APPL US) share price dropped almost 10% post its profit warning, blaming the shortfall on China. Even though China…
Apple (APPL US) share price dropped almost 10% post its…
Bearish is Not Unique (here)
With the world feeling so extremely bearish, the contrarian in us has started to feel more excited by the day.…
With the world feeling so extremely bearish, the contrarian in…
Do you believe in Go(l)d or America?
We have been arguing for the strategic long gold logic since early autumn 2018. Our base case has been that…
We have been arguing for the strategic long gold logic…
Apple Cooked
Mighty Apple trades down 9% in pre-market. Catching falling knives is not a strategy we are overly impressed with. There…
Mighty Apple trades down 9% in pre-market. Catching falling knives…
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